4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,370 sqft ·
Built 1924
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,730/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,175
Tax + insurance
−$569
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$573
Net cashflow
$413/mo
Annual
$4,958/yr
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$62,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $224k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $207/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $224k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Cheektowaga Central School District (urban): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #564 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Union East Elementary School (math 19% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,777 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 895 students, 65% FRL); Cheektowaga Middle School (math 10% / reading 36%, grade F, #646 of 729 statewide, top 89%, 627 students, 68% FRL); Cheektowaga High School (math 92% / reading 70%, grade A, #495 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 705 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 51% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $45k; list at $224k implies a 401% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,730/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3QBY539RYCFN2V
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29