3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1900
· Condo
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,756/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,063
Tax + insurance
−$1,875
HOA
−$637
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$789
Net cashflow
$-2,607/mo
Annual
$-31,290/yr
Cap rate
0.94%
Cash-on-cash
-19.14%
DSCR
0.15
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$163,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $584k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-31k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $337k (42.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $376k (35.7% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($566k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $337k (42.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#5 in NJ, #204 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Montclair Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #123 of 472 in NJ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 36 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $370k; list at $584k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-3QTMPGFM8TFRB8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29