2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,261 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,673/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,302
Tax + insurance
−$649
HOA
−$211
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$771
Net cashflow
$-261/mo
Annual
$-3,131/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.55%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$122,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $439k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $393k (10.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $367k (16.3% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($426k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $367k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#546 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gator Run Elementary School (math 75% / reading 77%, grade A, #198 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 1,225 students, 19% FRL); Falcon Cove Middle School (math 77% / reading 78%, grade A+, #27 of 571 statewide, top 5%, 2,178 students, 18% FRL); Cypress Bay High School (math 66% / reading 77%, grade B+, #49 of 667 statewide, top 8%, 4,716 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools average 18% FRL vs 51% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 75% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+28 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Broward average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $243k; list at $439k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.2% in Weston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-3RCT2FA0R04GGV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29