1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Active
· 246 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,375/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$309
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$-253/mo
Annual
$-3,030/yr
Cap rate
4.26%
Cash-on-cash
-7.26%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $149k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-253 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (7.7% below list).
It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#5 in AL, #1,730 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Homewood City (suburban): math 55% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #3 of 129 in AL (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $149k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.3% in Homewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.