3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,215 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,083/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$529/mo
Annual
$6,345/yr
Cap rate
22.20%
Cash-on-cash
56.79%
DSCR
3.53
1% rule
2.71%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $499 of equity ($276 loan paydown + $223 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#836 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188 (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #524 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Zeigler-Royalton Elem School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,259 of 2,056 statewide, top 62%, 253 students, 0% FRL); Zeigler-Royalton Jr High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #517 of 665 statewide, top 79%, 114 students, 0% FRL); Zeigler-Royalton High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #379 of 693 statewide, top 57%, 130 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29