3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,175 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 161 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,141/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$213/mo
Annual
$2,550/yr
Cap rate
8.61%
Cash-on-cash
8.28%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#461 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pulaski County (town): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #69 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pulaski County Elementary School (math 38% / reading 32%, grade F, #523 of 1,228 statewide, top 43%, 633 students, 100% FRL); Pulaski County Middle School (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 309 students, 72% FRL); Hawkinsville High School (math 42% / reading 34%, grade F, #64 of 424 statewide, top 15%, 388 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 63% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.3% in Hawkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29