3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,486 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$535/mo
Annual
$6,418/yr
Cap rate
14.85%
Cash-on-cash
30.56%
DSCR
2.36
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#53 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Lamar County School District (rural): math 48% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #18 of 130 in MS (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 300 active listings in the ZIP; 326 units permitted in Pearl River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pearl River County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 4.2% in Lumberton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and peeling
Major: Roof
— Missing shingles and visible damage
Major: Windows
— Old and possibly single-pane
CashFlowRE · CFR-3SXWY1ENC1RP4D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29