3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,506 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,338/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$270
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-905/yr
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.12%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-905/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (25.8% below list).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in LA, #261 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Marie B. Riviere Elementary School (math 33% / reading 33%, grade F, #297 of 646 statewide, top 46%, 612 students, 52% FRL); J.D. Meisler Middle School (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #161 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 753 students, 50% FRL); Riverdale High School (math 36% / reading 52%, grade F, #62 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 1,019 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 70% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Metairie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29