2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
943 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 331 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,074/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$162
HOA
−$648
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$436
Net cashflow
$-561/mo
Annual
$-6,729/yr
Cap rate
3.75%
Cash-on-cash
-9.07%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-561 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (21.7% below list).
It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#288 in FL, #4,774 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, employment D-.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Palm Springs Elementary School (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 559 students, 58% FRL); Hialeah Middle School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #410 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 878 students, 68% FRL); Hialeah Senior High School (math 16% / reading 37%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,732 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $265k implies a 342% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,074/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 4195% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-3TGY5D4HK5FN8Q
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29