4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,063/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$433
Net cashflow
$154/mo
Annual
$1,843/yr
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.75%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$66,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (13.7% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Vermilion Parish (town): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #15 of 98 in LA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Leblanc Elementary School (math 43% / reading 53%, grade D, #144 of 646 statewide, top 22%, 689 students, 64% FRL); Erath Middle School (math 47% / reading 70%, grade B, #13 of 218 statewide, top 6%, 545 students, 55% FRL); Erath High School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #13 of 265 statewide, top 5%, 531 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 682 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 228 units permitted in Vermilion Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $239k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3V25J95G5XG4EK
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29