2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
882 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,239/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$-119/mo
Annual
$-1,424/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.91%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (12.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (29.2% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $124k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Waverly Community Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #341 of 540 in MI (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Winans Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 384 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 98 units permitted in Eaton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Eaton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3VBQ8JF5K03VRM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29