4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,973 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,013/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,130
Tax + insurance
−$416
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$423
Net cashflow
$44/mo
Annual
$532/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.88%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$60,340
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $216k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($532/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $201k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Union (urban): math 20% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #160 of 270 in OK (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jarman Es (math 18% / reading 19%, grade F, #530 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 614 students, 0% FRL); Union 6Th-7Th Grade Ctr (math 18% / reading 17%, grade F, #186 of 345 statewide, top 55%, 2,182 students, 0% FRL); Union Hs (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #139 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 3,355 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3VCA9ZFJK3KYNY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29