3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
852 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$448/mo
Annual
$5,375/yr
Cap rate
17.26%
Cash-on-cash
39.18%
DSCR
2.74
1% rule
2.03%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#102 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Carbon District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in UT (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Castle Heights School (math 50% / reading 43%, grade D-, #215 of 585 statewide, top 37%, 422 students, 46% FRL); Mont Harmon Middle (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #72 of 138 statewide, top 53%, 601 students, 45% FRL); Carbon High (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #124 of 171 statewide, top 74%, 1,023 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 196 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3VV3HWB8M305S9
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29