4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
4,156 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$892
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$578
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-48/yr
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
7.98%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-48/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (0.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#214 in NY, #3,289 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
Owego-Apalachin Central School District (town): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #204 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $245k implies a 345% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.3% in Owego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29