527 Canaan Rd

Hartland, ME 04943

$45,000A-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Built — · MultiFamily · Active · 78 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,342/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax + insurance: −$159
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$282
• Net cashflow: $665/mo
• Annual: $7,977/yr
• Cap rate: 24.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 63.31%
• DSCR: 3.82
• 1% rule: 2.98%
• Cash to close: $12,600

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $45k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#120 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• RSU 19 (rural): math 73% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #96 of 112 in ME (top 86%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
• Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Somerset County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 24.0% vs local median 5.9% in Hartland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.