3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,288 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Other
· Pending
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,471/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$6/mo
Annual
$73/yr
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.14%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($73/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (22.6% below list).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#318 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Joplin Schools (urban): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #231 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cecil Floyd Elem. (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #806 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 497 students, 66% FRL); North Middle (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #283 of 391 statewide, top 74%, 517 students, 65% FRL); Joplin High (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #287 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 2,233 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.7%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 5.1% in Joplin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3X3H0FFGDXP90Q
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29