3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,881 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,040/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$31
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$29/mo
Annual
$346/yr
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.50%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($346/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (16.7% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
Choctaw-Nicoma Park (suburban): math 28% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 270 in OK (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Nicoma Park Es (441 students, 0% FRL); Nicoma Park Ms (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #79 of 345 statewide, top 24%, 622 students, 0% FRL); Choctaw Hs (math 26% / reading 37%, grade F, #73 of 447 statewide, top 16%, 1,811 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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