3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,230 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,441/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$902
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$19/mo
Annual
$231/yr
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.14%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$48,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $172k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($231/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northwood Elementary (math 28% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,028 of 1,410 statewide, top 73%, 469 students, 99% FRL); Ferndale Middle (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #401 of 475 statewide, top 84%, 537 students, 99% FRL); High Point Central High (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D-, #350 of 535 statewide, top 66%, 1,081 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 119 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $172k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3XKRJ296G3W0RH
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29