16 bd · 16.0 ba ·
3,611 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,834/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$525
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,855
Net cashflow
$4,802/mo
Annual
$57,624/yr
Cap rate
24.59%
Cash-on-cash
65.33%
DSCR
3.91
1% rule
2.80%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $315k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($58k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $315k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $306k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $8,834/mo this rent would consume 203% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1897% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored
Minor: landscaping
— Overgrown bushes need trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-3XMGC7CWETSYSF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29