2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,110 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,320/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$-183/mo
Annual
$-2,197/yr
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.36%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (18.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (26.6% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $132k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#813 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Hoosic Valley Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #304 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hoosic Valley Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 459 students, 0% FRL); Hoosic Valley Junior Senior High School (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #887 of 1,100 statewide, top 82%, 397 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 21% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3XMPQ353DVM88D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29