3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,376 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,033/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$286
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$906/mo
Annual
$10,866/yr
Cap rate
20.05%
Cash-on-cash
49.12%
DSCR
3.19
1% rule
2.57%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $906 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $453/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#450 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Shelbyville Central Schools (town): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in IN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Thomas A Hendricks Elementary Sch (math 49% / reading 39%, grade F, #408 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 533 students, 66% FRL); Shelbyville Middle School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #136 of 330 statewide, top 44%, 882 students, 62% FRL); Shelbyville Sr High School (math 31% / reading 60%, grade D-, #164 of 369 statewide, top 45%, 1,101 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 46% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 238 active listings in the ZIP; 285 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (147 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 4.0% in Shelbyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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