3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1941
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$97
Tax + insurance
−$31
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$761/mo
Annual
$9,134/yr
Cap rate
55.67%
Cash-on-cash
176.33%
DSCR
8.85
1% rule
6.08%
Cash to close
$5,180
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $18k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $761 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $17k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $94 of equity ($128 loan paydown + $-34 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,163 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
Jefferson-Morgan SD (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #407 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3YQZQ670ASBSZ3
· Data 22 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29