4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,332 sqft ·
Built 1911
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,288/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$132/mo
Annual
$1,583/yr
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (8.0% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Alcester-Hudson School District 61-1 (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #122 of 148 in SD (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Alcester-Hudson Elementary - 04 (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #144 of 253 statewide, top 63%, 195 students, 25% FRL); Alcester-Hudson Jr. High - 03 (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #102 of 143 statewide, top 76%, 53 students, 34% FRL); Alcester-Hudson High School - 01 (math 10% / reading 90%, grade D+, #67 of 151 statewide, top 45%, 104 students, 24% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3YXA62F8K8NA0B
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29