None bd · 27.0 ba ·
2,100 sqft ·
Built 1948
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 116 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,413/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$507
Net cashflow
$870/mo
Annual
$10,444/yr
Cap rate
13.26%
Cash-on-cash
24.88%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $870 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $290/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $251 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-785 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#235 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Gibson County Sp District (rural): math 47% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 139 in TN (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $150k implies a 384% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3YXTKE5380W7ST
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29