3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,373 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 169 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,814/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,186
Tax + insurance
−$377
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$381
Net cashflow
$-130/mo
Annual
$-1,555/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.46%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$63,309
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-130 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (5.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Piedmont (rural): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 270 in OK (top 3%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Stone Ridge Es (math 49% / reading 41%, grade D-, #60 of 845 statewide, top 7%, 594 students, 0% FRL); Piedmont Ms (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #39 of 345 statewide, top 12%, 772 students, 0% FRL); Piedmont Hs (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #24 of 447 statewide, top 5%, 1,422 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 2361 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3Z4WB48Z8QTP95
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29