3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,519 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Condo
· Pending
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,575/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$154
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$-423/mo
Annual
$-5,076/yr
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.55%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-423 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (31.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (34.4% below list).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#6 in IA, #101 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
Pella Community School District (town): math 85% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #8 of 289 in IA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (math 82% / reading 67%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 490 students, 23% FRL); Jefferson Intermediate (math 80% / reading 85%, grade A+, #16 of 246 statewide, top 8%, 526 students, 19% FRL); Pella High School (math 85% / reading 89%, grade A, #9 of 336 statewide, top 3%, 764 students, 14% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 122 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.0% in Pella — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-3ZCAN089SS81D1
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29