2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
756 sqft ·
Built 1911
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 251 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,017/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$214
Net cashflow
$-80/mo
Annual
$-963/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.55%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-963/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (10.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (24.7% below list).
It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#43 in NE, #2,252 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
Grand Island Public Schools (urban): math 36% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #102 of 111 in NE (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 246 units permitted in Hall County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hall County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.6% in Grand Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3ZNMQE9AGY82ES
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29