4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,029 sqft ·
Built 1949
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,312/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,746
Tax + insurance
−$616
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,376
Net cashflow
$3,575/mo
Annual
$42,896/yr
Cap rate
11.03%
Cash-on-cash
16.93%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$253,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $905k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($43k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $905k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($878k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $878k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Budlong Avenue Elementary (659 students, 96% FRL); John Muir Middle (693 students, 99% FRL); Augustus Hawkins High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #950 of 1,170 statewide, top 82%, 1,179 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 67% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Los Angeles Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
14 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8.14M (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $253k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-3ZR9HG3JTM8YNE
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29