4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
1,925 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,576/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,300
Tax + insurance
−$731
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$541
Net cashflow
$-1,045/mo
Annual
$-12,543/yr
Cap rate
3.43%
Cash-on-cash
-10.22%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$122,790
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (25.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (33.1% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $258k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Wysong Elementary (math 69% / reading 75%, grade A-, #27 of 502 statewide, top 7%, 697 students, 8% FRL); Moore Middle School (math 78% / reading 69%, grade A, #4 of 128 statewide, top 2%, 738 students, 10% FRL); Norris High School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #49 of 261 statewide, top 26%, 757 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools average 10% FRL vs 37% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lincoln Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-406HHRFAJ47S7W
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29