4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,220 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,505
Tax + insurance
−$454
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$597
Net cashflow
$287/mo
Annual
$3,439/yr
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.28%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$80,360
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $287k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (0.9% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $284k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ocean View Elementary (math 20% / reading 53%, grade F, #953 of 1,108 statewide, top 86%, 456 students, 98% FRL); Granby High (math 33% / reading 80%, grade C, #270 of 319 statewide, top 86%, 1,837 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $50k; list at $287k implies a 474% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,843/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1948% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-40NW3ZEPNC0N4M
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29