3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,293
Tax + insurance
−$1,278
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,520
Net cashflow
$1,909/mo
Annual
$22,905/yr
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.82%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$336,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $1.20M).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#910 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Northport-East Northport Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #101 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Norwood Avenue School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #314 of 2,108 statewide, top 17%, 434 students, 15% FRL); Northport Middle School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B, #161 of 729 statewide, top 24%, 700 students, 13% FRL); Northport Senior High School (math 97% / reading 62%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 1,645 students, 18% FRL).
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-40SN1E9FH2P8VW
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29