2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 2011
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$936/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$40
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$437/mo
Annual
$5,239/yr
Cap rate
16.77%
Cash-on-cash
37.42%
DSCR
2.66
1% rule
1.87%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($936 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#328 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Yazoo County School District (rural): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #96 of 130 in MS (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Yazoo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yazoo County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 4.2% in Yazoo City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-411N38D35SF3NJ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29