2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
920 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,435/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$480/mo
Annual
$5,754/yr
Cap rate
14.00%
Cash-on-cash
27.53%
DSCR
2.22
1% rule
1.69%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#29 in UT, #1,169 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D.
Murray District (suburban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #46 of 80 in UT (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mcmillan School (math 52% / reading 60%, grade C+, #88 of 585 statewide, top 16%, 481 students, 27% FRL); Hillcrest Jr High (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #113 of 138 statewide, top 83%, 776 students, 39% FRL); Murray High (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #78 of 171 statewide, top 49%, 1,400 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 230 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,970 units permitted in Salt Lake County in 2024 (1,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Salt Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-422ZCN4H0YRT7Z
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29