3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,590/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$1,014/mo
Annual
$12,171/yr
Cap rate
41.07%
Cash-on-cash
124.20%
DSCR
6.53
1% rule
4.54%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in ID, #428 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
Idaho Falls District (urban): math 36% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #54 of 92 in ID (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade D+, #144 of 357 statewide, top 41%, 598 students, 32% FRL); Eagle Rock Middle School (math 35% / reading 53%, grade D, #57 of 109 statewide, top 54%, 776 students, 46% FRL); Skyline Senior High School (math 30% / reading 47%, grade F, #98 of 169 statewide, top 58%, 1,321 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,253 units permitted in Bonneville County in 2024 (1,051 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bonneville County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-42960N2PQS3M6R
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29