3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,127 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,893/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$397
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-520/yr
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.73%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-520/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (3.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (25.8% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $189k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#81 in FL, #1,315 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, commute A-; Watch: amenities F.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: W. Melbourne Elementary School For Science (math 88% / reading 86%, grade A+, #24 of 2,144 statewide, top 1%, 549 students, 18% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 67% / reading 59%, grade B+, #111 of 571 statewide, top 20%, 673 students, 41% FRL); Rockledge Senior High School (math 27% / reading 49%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 1,558 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 321 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $255k implies a 410% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-42BRRD97G3CCXK
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29