5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,806 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,169/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$616
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$455
Net cashflow
$901/mo
Annual
$10,818/yr
Cap rate
15.50%
Cash-on-cash
32.88%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
1.85%
Cash to close
$32,900
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $118k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#372 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools D-.
Monmouth-Roseville CUSD 238 (town): math 10% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #511 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is in poor condition and needs replacement.
Minor: kitchen flooring
— The flooring is dated but not severely damaged.
Minor: bathroom flooring
— The flooring is dated but not severely damaged.
Minor: interior walls/paint
— The walls and paint are dated but not severely damaged.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and in poor condition, requiring significant work to improve curb appeal.
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