3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1915
· Condo
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,048/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$1
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$640
Net cashflow
$610/mo
Annual
$7,322/yr
Cap rate
9.11%
Cash-on-cash
10.06%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $229k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Burton International Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,308 of 1,397 statewide, top 95%, 501 students, 85% FRL); Northwestern High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 358 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 87% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $3,048/mo this rent would consume 82% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29