7 bd · 10.5 ba ·
8,112 sqft ·
Built 1932
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 270 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,076/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$17,279
Tax + insurance
−$6,785
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$856
Net cashflow
$-20,844/mo
Annual
$-250,129/yr
Cap rate
-1.30%
Cash-on-cash
-27.11%
DSCR
-0.21
1% rule
0.12%
Cash to close
$922,600
Investor read
This is a 7-bed/10.5-bath single-family listed at $3.29M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21k ($-250k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $466k (85.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $408k (87.6% below list).
It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.90M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $408k (87.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $352k of equity ($23k loan paydown + $330k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#714 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Jericho Union Free School District (suburban): math 91% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #7 of 590 in NY (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Jericho Middle School (math 88% / reading 87%, grade A+, #8 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 810 students, 13% FRL); Jericho Senior High School (math 100% / reading 77%, grade A, #299 of 1,100 statewide, top 27%, 1,258 students, 15% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $703k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $2.40M; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$566k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 88% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-43ZHF53RD9SKY4
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29