2 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,156 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 150 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,250
Tax + insurance
−$715
HOA
−$208
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$945
Net cashflow
$382/mo
Annual
$4,587/yr
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.82%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$120,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $429k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $429k).
It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $378k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#49 in NC, #4,088 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Madison County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #55 of 178 in NC (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mars Hill Elementary (math 45% / reading 51%, grade D, #477 of 1,410 statewide, top 35%, 500 students, 53% FRL); Madison High School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C-, #270 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 414 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 209 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $120k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.3% in Mars Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-446G0S33MWRGZR
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29