2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,222/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$214
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-114/mo
Annual
$-1,367/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.96%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (25.9% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $122k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#180 in MN, #3,872 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Cambridge-Isanti Public School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #96 of 301 in MN (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cambridge Intermediate School (math 62% / reading 55%, grade B-, #251 of 857 statewide, top 30%, 503 students, 40% FRL); Cambridge Middle School (math 43% / reading 62%, grade C+, #59 of 258 statewide, top 24%, 605 students, 36% FRL); Cambridge-Isanti High School (math 37% / reading 60%, grade D, #156 of 471 statewide, top 33%, 1,605 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 191 units permitted in Isanti County in 2024 (28 in 5+ unit buildings).
Isanti County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.9% in Cambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-44DM4VFDCB3CZM
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29