4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,108 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 360 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,328
Tax + insurance
−$740
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$693
Net cashflow
$-461/mo
Annual
$-5,537/yr
Cap rate
5.05%
Cash-on-cash
-4.45%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$124,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $444k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-461 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $377k (15.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $330k (25.7% below list).
It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($391k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#612 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Camden County Schools (rural): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #29 of 178 in NC (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Grandy Primary (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A, #24 of 1,410 statewide, top 2%, 607 students, 32% FRL); Camden County High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 464 students, 25% FRL).
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 105 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-44TEVEDB2JZ3PV
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29