2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Condo
· Active
· 439 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,026/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,862
Tax + insurance
−$658
HOA
−$1,658
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$636
Net cashflow
$-1,787/mo
Annual
$-21,443/yr
Cap rate
0.48%
Cash-on-cash
-20.77%
DSCR
0.08
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$99,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $355k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $336k (5.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 439 days — a 12% lower offer ($312k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $303k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 55% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 612 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 11733% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 0.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 439 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-44YR165A0VS9RT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29