2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,408 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,112/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,091
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$1,928
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$863
Net cashflow
$-117/mo
Annual
$-1,407/yr
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.42%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.98%
Cash to close
$58,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $208k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (8.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $208k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in FL, #914 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: David Lawrence Jr. K-8 Center (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 1,282 students, 55% FRL); North Miami Middle School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 807 students, 71% FRL); Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 47% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.1% in North Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,112/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1914% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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