3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,474 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,183/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$52/mo
Annual
$619/yr
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.52%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($619/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (18.4% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#543 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
West Noble School Corporation (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #237 of 301 in IN (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 131 units permitted in Noble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Noble County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-45CPD4EVZZ02XS
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29