2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,510 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,227/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$96/mo
Annual
$1,150/yr
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.93%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (12.3% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#504 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified District (rural): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #18 of 270 in OK (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Thomas Es (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #42 of 845 statewide, top 5%, 260 students, 0% FRL); Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified Jhs (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #97 of 345 statewide, top 31%, 112 students, 0% FRL); Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified Hs (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #25 of 447 statewide, top 8%, 93 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $140k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-464JAV483WG3E0
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29