3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,522 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 244 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,231/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$78
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$814/mo
Annual
$9,766/yr
Cap rate
76.31%
Cash-on-cash
250.07%
DSCR
12.13
1% rule
8.26%
Cash to close
$4,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $814 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#201 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ruffner Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #130 of 377 statewide, top 39%, 290 students, 0% FRL); Horace Mann Middle School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #23 of 109 statewide, top 21%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Capital High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 1,086 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (84%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-46VZMG76RZ4YD5
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29