2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1951
· Condo
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,806/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$269
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$379
Net cashflow
$-130/mo
Annual
$-1,558/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.59%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-130 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (10.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#353 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Transylvania County Schools (town): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #79 of 178 in NC (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Brevard Elementary (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #610 of 1,410 statewide, top 44%, 544 students, 64% FRL); Brevard High (math 72% / reading 72%, grade B+, #107 of 535 statewide, top 21%, 751 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 349 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 217 units permitted in Transylvania County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Transylvania County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $178k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.1% in Brevard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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