829 Ash

Waurika, OK 73573

$48,000B

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 725 sqft · Built 1952 · SingleFamily · Active · 163 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $821/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$252
• Tax + insurance: −$30
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$172
• Net cashflow: $367/mo
• Annual: $4,406/yr
• Cap rate: 15.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.78%
• DSCR: 2.46
• 1% rule: 1.71%
• Cash to close: $13,440

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($821 rent vs $48k).
• It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($332 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#233 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Waurika (rural): math 27% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #98 of 270 in OK (top 36%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Waurika Es (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 231 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.
• Jefferson County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.