3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,465 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 124 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,166/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$749/mo
Annual
$8,985/yr
Cap rate
42.38%
Cash-on-cash
128.87%
DSCR
6.73
1% rule
4.68%
Cash to close
$6,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#620 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Illini Central CUSD 189 (rural): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #514 of 620 in IL (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Illini Central High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 185 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-48FRHH57G5NJDP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29