2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,326/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$279
Net cashflow
$530/mo
Annual
$6,362/yr
Cap rate
18.25%
Cash-on-cash
42.69%
DSCR
2.90
1% rule
2.21%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $605 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,075 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
West Orange-Cove CISD (suburban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #784 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-48JT1Y9E11GYHM
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29